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Table 1 Decision table based on the diagnostic outcomes of the PEPPER-study cohort

From: Cost-effectiveness of the implementation of [68Ga]Ga-PSMA-11 PET/CT at initial prostate cancer staging

Ground truth

Diagnosis

Patients (n)

Frequency (%)

SE (%)

ePLND spared (y/n)

Diagnostic scheme

Curative treatment scheme

Health state

[68Ga]Ga-PSMA-11 PET/CT scenario

N0 patients

pN0

pN0

49

91%

-

No

GPP + MRI + ePLND

RT/RP

NEOD-N0

pN0

iN1lim

5

9%

3.9%

Yes***

GPP + MRI

RT/RP + Pelvic RT + ADT

NEOD-N0

pN0

iN1ext

0

NA*****

-

Yes**

NA

NA

NA

N1Lim patients

pN1lim

pN0

24

65%

7.8%

No*

GPP + MRI + ePLND

RT/RP + Pelvic RT + ADT

NEOD-N1

pN1lim

iN1lim

12

32%

-

Yes

GPP + MRI

RT/RP + Pelvic RT + ADT

NEOD-N1

pN1lim

iN1ext

1

2.7%

2.7%

Yes**

GPP + MRI

NA

False palliative

N1Ext patients

pN1ext

pN0

0

NA*****

-

No*

NA

NA

NA

pN1ext

iN1lim

1

33%

27.2%

Yes***

GPP + MRI

RT/RP + Pelvic RT + ADT

Palliative

pN1ext

iN1ext

2

67%

-

Yes

GPP + MRI

NA

Palliative

M1 patients

pM1

iM1

8

100%

-

Yes****

GPP + MRI

NA

Palliative

Standard of care scenario

N0 patients

pN0

pN0

54

100%

-

No

GPP + MRI + ePLND

RT/RP

NEOD-N0

N1Lim Patients

        

pN1lim

pN1lim

37

100%

-

No

GPP + MRI + ePLND

RT/RP + Pelvic RT + ADT

NEOD-N1

N1Ext patients

pN1ext

pN1ext

3

100%

-

No

GPP + MRI + ePLND

NA

Palliative

M1 Patients

        

pM1

pN0

8

100%

-

No

GPP + MRI + ePLND

RT/RP

Palliative

  1. The proportion was used to define treatment costs and utilities. The patients distribution among states was used as cohort for the Markov simulation. ADT  Androgen deprivation therapy, ePLND extended pelvic lymph node dissection, GPP = [68Ga]Ga-PSMA-11 PET/CT, MRI  magnetic resonance imaging, M1  distant metastasis including extra pelvic lymph node metastasis, bone and/or visceral metastasis, N0  no lymph node metastasis, N1lim  limited lymph nodes metastasis defined as less than or equal to four pelvic lymph node metastasis, N1ext  extended lymph nodes metastasis defined as more than four pelvic lymph node metastasis, NA  not applicable, NEOD  no evidence of disease, PET/CT  positron emission tomography/computed tomography, PSMA  prostate specific membrane antigen, RP  radical prostatectomy, RT  radiotherapy.
  2. *ePLND would reveal misdiagnosis of the [68Ga]Ga-PSMA-11 PET/CT and therefore assuring correct treatment
  3. **Misdiagnosis by [68Ga]Ga-PSMA-11 PET/CT would result in false positive palliative state and thus causing lower treatment effects
  4. ***Misdiagnosis by [68Ga]Ga-PSMA-11 PET/CT would result higher treatment costs for pelvic radiotherapy and ADT but equal outcomes regarding after treatment effects
  5. ****ePLND would not recognize the M1 state resulting in higher treatment costs and lower treatment utilities for these patients in the standard of care. However after treatment effects would be equal
  6. *****It was assumed to be impossible to overestimate more than 4 lymph nodes metastases in N0 patients and vice versa